2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – 35-39 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Canada

1. 3,422 of 3,422 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 38% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,445 of 2,445 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 977 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,214 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 38% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,422 of 2,718,849 people aged 35-39 living in Canada died from All Causes.

3,422 ÷ 2,718,849 = 0.00126 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 32,274 deaths from All Causes among 35,881,533 people aged 35-39 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

32,274 ÷ 35,881,533 = 0.00090 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,718,849 X 0.00090 = 2,445 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,422 – 2,445 = 977

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,422 ÷ 2,445 = 1.3839

This reveals 977 lives lost and is 138.39% of what we expected (an increase of 38%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

18,093 ÷ 17,627,538 = 0.00103 (5-yr CDR)

2,718,849(2022 pop) X 0.00103 = 2,791 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,422 – 2,791 = 631 or 631 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,422 ÷ 2,791 = 1.2144 or an increase of 21%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

20,346,387 X 0.00090 = 18,301 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

21515 – 18,301 = 3,214 or 3,214 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

21,515 ÷ 18,301 = 1.1627 or an increase of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.