2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 15-19 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Canada

1. 257 of 799 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 32.16% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 332% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 38 of 885 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 219 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 86 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 462 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,050 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 332% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 257 of 2,124,972 teens aged 15-19 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

257 ÷ 2,124,972 = 0.00012 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 589 deaths from Unknown Causes among 32,697,132 teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

589 ÷ 32,697,132 = 0.00002 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,124,972 X 0.00002 = 38 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

257 – 38 = 219

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

257 ÷ 38 = 4.3173

This reveals 219 lives lost and is 431.73% of what we expected (an increase of 332%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

507 ÷ 14,646,254 = 0.00003 (5-yr CDR)

2,124,972(2022 pop) X 0.00003 = 74 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

257 – 74 = 183 or 183 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

257 ÷ 74 = 2.7107 or an increase of 171%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

16,771,226 X 0.00002 = 302 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

764 – 302 = 462 or 462 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

764 ÷ 302 = 1.6261 or an increase of 63%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.