2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 75-79 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in Canada

1. 1,629 of 41,279 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.95% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 171% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 587 of 48,074 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,042 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6,795 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,974 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 51,773 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 171% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,629 of 1,381,797 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,629 ÷ 1,381,797 = 0.00118 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,631 deaths from Unknown Causes among 13,246,630 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,631 ÷ 13,246,630 = 0.00043 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,381,797 X 0.00043 = 587 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,629 – 587 = 1,042

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,629 ÷ 587 = 2.7096

This reveals 1,042 lives lost and is 270.96% of what we expected (an increase of 171%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,261 ÷ 7,830,601 = 0.00054 (5-yr CDR)

1,381,797(2022 pop) X 0.00054 = 752 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,629 – 752 = 877 or 877 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,629 ÷ 752 = 2.1274 or an increase of 113%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,212,398 X 0.00043 = 3,916 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5890 – 3,916 = 1,974 or 1,974 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,890 ÷ 3,916 = 1.4695 or an increase of 47%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.