2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | New Brunswick, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in New Brunswick

1. 4,049 of 4,049 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,347 of 3,347 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 702 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,943 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,049 of 408,827 women of all ages living in New Brunswick died from All Causes.

4,049 ÷ 408,827 = 0.00990 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 43,648 deaths from All Causes among 5,330,691 women of all ages living in New Brunswick in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

43,648 ÷ 5,330,691 = 0.00819 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

408,827 X 0.00819 = 3,347 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,049 – 3,347 = 702

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,049 ÷ 3,347 = 1.2081

This reveals 702 lives lost and is 120.81% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

25,616 ÷ 2,732,544 = 0.00937 (5-yr CDR)

408,827(2022 pop) X 0.00937 = 3,833 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,049 – 3,833 = 216 or 216 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,049 ÷ 3,833 = 1.0554 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,141,371 X 0.00819 = 25,722 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

29665 – 25,722 = 3,943 or 3,943 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

29,665 ÷ 25,722 = 1.1519 or an increase of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New Brunswick in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.