2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Newfoundland

1. 383 of 6,144 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.23% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 312% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 88 of 4,496 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 295 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,648 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 803 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 6,773 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Newfoundland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 312% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 383 of 525,972 individuals of all ages living in Newfoundland died from Unknown Causes.

383 ÷ 525,972 = 0.00073 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,301 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,796,312 individuals of all ages living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,301 ÷ 7,796,312 = 0.00017 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

525,972 X 0.00017 = 88 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

383 – 88 = 295

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

383 ÷ 88 = 4.1169

This reveals 295 lives lost and is 411.69% of what we expected (an increase of 312%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,121 ÷ 3,676,590 = 0.00030 (5-yr CDR)

525,972(2022 pop) X 0.00030 = 160 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

383 – 160 = 223 or 223 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

383 ÷ 160 = 2.3124 or an increase of 131%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,202,562 X 0.00017 = 701 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1504 – 701 = 803 or 803 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,504 ÷ 701 = 2.0233 or an increase of 102%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.