2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Nova Scotia

1. 5,258 of 5,258 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,481 of 4,481 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 777 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 4,149 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,258 of 519,105 women of all ages living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

5,258 ÷ 519,105 = 0.01013 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 57,992 deaths from All Causes among 6,717,768 women of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

57,992 ÷ 6,717,768 = 0.00863 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

519,105 X 0.00863 = 4,481 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,258 – 4,481 = 777

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,258 ÷ 4,481 = 1.1720

This reveals 777 lives lost and is 117.20% of what we expected (an increase of 17%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

33,052 ÷ 3,438,050 = 0.00961 (5-yr CDR)

519,105(2022 pop) X 0.00961 = 4,990 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,258 – 4,990 = 268 or 268 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,258 ÷ 4,990 = 1.0525 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,957,155 X 0.00863 = 34,161 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

38310 – 34,161 = 4,149 or 4,149 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

38,310 ÷ 34,161 = 1.1202 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.