2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Ontario

1. 4,035 of 62,458 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.46% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 305% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 922 of 51,751 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 3,113 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 10,707 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 8,645 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 43,356 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 305% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,035 of 7,473,772 men of all ages living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

4,035 ÷ 7,473,772 = 0.00054 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 11,620 deaths from Unknown Causes among 94,153,277 men of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

11,620 ÷ 94,153,277 = 0.00012 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,473,772 X 0.00012 = 922 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,035 – 922 = 3,113

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,035 ÷ 922 = 4.0467

This reveals 3,113 lives lost and is 404.67% of what we expected (an increase of 305%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,624 ÷ 49,358,569 = 0.00024 (5-yr CDR)

7,473,772(2022 pop) X 0.00024 = 1,760 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,035 – 1,760 = 2,275 or 2,275 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,035 ÷ 1,760 = 2.1991 or an increase of 120%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

56,832,341 X 0.00012 = 7,014 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15659 – 7,014 = 8,645 or 8,645 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

15,659 ÷ 7,014 = 2.0652 or an increase of 107%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.