2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 80+ | Alabama, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 80+ in Alabama

1. 9,038 of 9,038 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 9,201 of 9,201 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 163 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 754 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 9,038 of 43,303 elderly men aged 80+ living in Alabama died from All Causes.

9,038 ÷ 43,303 = 0.20872 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 101,870 deaths from All Causes among 479,437 elderly men aged 80+ living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

101,870 ÷ 479,437 = 0.21248 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

43,303 X 0.21248 = 9,201 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

9,038 – 9,201 = -163

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

9,038 ÷ 9,201 = 0.9822

This reveals 163 lives saved and is 98.22% of what we expected (a decrease of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

58,764 ÷ 279,345 = 0.21036 (5-yr CDR)

43,303(2022 pop) X 0.21036 = 9,109 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9,038 – 9,109 = -71 or 71 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

9,038 ÷ 9,109 = 0.9921 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

322,648 X 0.21248 = 68,556 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

67802 – 68,556 = -754 or 754 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

67,802 ÷ 68,556 = 0.9890 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 80+ living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.