2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 70-74 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 70-74 in Colorado

1. 2,161 of 2,161 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,416 of 2,416 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 255 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,372 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,161 of 130,845 elderly women aged 70-74 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

2,161 ÷ 130,845 = 0.01652 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 18,149 deaths from All Causes among 982,874 elderly women aged 70-74 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

18,149 ÷ 982,874 = 0.01847 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

130,845 X 0.01847 = 2,416 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,161 – 2,416 = -255

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,161 ÷ 2,416 = 0.8939

This reveals 255 lives saved and is 89.39% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

12,203 ÷ 775,492 = 0.01574 (5-yr CDR)

130,845(2022 pop) X 0.01574 = 2,059 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,161 – 2,059 = 102 or 102 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,161 ÷ 2,059 = 1.0489 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

906,337 X 0.01847 = 16,736 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

14364 – 16,736 = -2,372 or 2,372 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

14,364 ÷ 16,736 = 0.8578 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 70-74 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.