2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 75-79 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in Colorado

1. 2,601 of 2,601 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,842 of 2,842 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 241 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,030 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,601 of 89,922 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

2,601 ÷ 89,922 = 0.02893 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,179 deaths from All Causes among 796,612 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,179 ÷ 796,612 = 0.03161 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

89,922 X 0.03161 = 2,842 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,601 – 2,842 = -241

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,601 ÷ 2,842 = 0.9148

This reveals 241 lives saved and is 91.48% of what we expected (a decrease of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,163 ÷ 504,697 = 0.02806 (5-yr CDR)

89,922(2022 pop) X 0.02806 = 2,523 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,601 – 2,523 = 78 or 78 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,601 ÷ 2,523 = 1.0304 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

594,619 X 0.03161 = 18,794 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16764 – 18,794 = -2,030 or 2,030 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

16,764 ÷ 18,794 = 0.8917 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.