2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 55-59 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 55-59 in Colorado

1. 1,440 of 1,440 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,221 of 1,221 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 219 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,157 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,440 of 167,969 men aged 55-59 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

1,440 ÷ 167,969 = 0.00857 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 15,680 deaths from All Causes among 2,157,622 men aged 55-59 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

15,680 ÷ 2,157,622 = 0.00727 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

167,969 X 0.00727 = 1,221 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,440 – 1,221 = 219

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,440 ÷ 1,221 = 1.1781

This reveals 219 lives lost and is 117.81% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,015 ÷ 1,249,048 = 0.00802 (5-yr CDR)

167,969(2022 pop) X 0.00802 = 1,347 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,440 – 1,347 = 93 or 93 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,440 ÷ 1,347 = 1.0679 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,417,017 X 0.00727 = 10,298 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11455 – 10,298 = 1,157 or 1,157 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

11,455 ÷ 10,298 = 1.1108 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.