2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Colorado

1. 2,915 of 2,915 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,413 of 3,413 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 498 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,881 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,915 of 78,306 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

2,915 ÷ 78,306 = 0.03723 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 27,098 deaths from All Causes among 621,769 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

27,098 ÷ 621,769 = 0.04358 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

78,306 X 0.04358 = 3,413 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,915 – 3,413 = -498

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,915 ÷ 3,413 = 0.8540

This reveals 498 lives saved and is 85.40% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

16,316 ÷ 429,062 = 0.03803 (5-yr CDR)

78,306(2022 pop) X 0.03803 = 2,978 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,915 – 2,978 = -63 or 63 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,915 ÷ 2,978 = 0.9787 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

507,368 X 0.04358 = 22,112 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

19231 – 22,112 = -2,881 or 2,881 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

19,231 ÷ 22,112 = 0.8695 or a decrease of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.