2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Delaware, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Delaware

1. 5,967 of 5,967 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 35% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,426 of 4,426 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,541 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 7,363 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 35% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,967 of 405,203 men of all ages living in Delaware died from All Causes.

5,967 ÷ 405,203 = 0.01473 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 55,366 deaths from All Causes among 5,069,350 men of all ages living in Delaware in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

55,366 ÷ 5,069,350 = 0.01092 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

405,203 X 0.01092 = 4,426 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,967 – 4,426 = 1,541

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,967 ÷ 4,426 = 1.3471

This reveals 1,541 lives lost and is 134.71% of what we expected (an increase of 35%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Delaware in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

35,264 ÷ 2,695,787 = 0.01308 (5-yr CDR)

405,203(2022 pop) X 0.01308 = 5,301 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,967 – 5,301 = 666 or 666 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,967 ÷ 5,301 = 1.1249 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Delaware in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,100,990 X 0.01092 = 33,868 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

41231 – 33,868 = 7,363 or 7,363 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

41,231 ÷ 33,868 = 1.2163 or an increase of 22%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Delaware in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.