2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Georgia

1. 1,090 of 1,090 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 75% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 619 of 619 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 471 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,931 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 75% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,090 of 378,696 men aged 30-34 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

1,090 ÷ 378,696 = 0.00288 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 8,127 deaths from All Causes among 4,970,660 men aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,127 ÷ 4,970,660 = 0.00163 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

378,696 X 0.00163 = 619 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,090 – 619 = 471

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,090 ÷ 619 = 1.7497

This reveals 471 lives lost and is 174.97% of what we expected (an increase of 75%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,467 ÷ 2,450,810 = 0.00223 (5-yr CDR)

378,696(2022 pop) X 0.00223 = 845 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,090 – 845 = 245 or 245 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,090 ÷ 845 = 1.2846 or an increase of 28%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,829,506 X 0.00163 = 4,626 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6557 – 4,626 = 1,931 or 1,931 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,557 ÷ 4,626 = 1.4087 or an increase of 41%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.