2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in Georgia

1. 1,229 of 1,229 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 66% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 739 of 739 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 490 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,636 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 66% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,229 of 356,488 men aged 35-39 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

1,229 ÷ 356,488 = 0.00345 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,551 deaths from All Causes among 5,092,227 men aged 35-39 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,551 ÷ 5,092,227 = 0.00207 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

356,488 X 0.00207 = 739 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,229 – 739 = 490

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,229 ÷ 739 = 1.6559

This reveals 490 lives lost and is 165.59% of what we expected (an increase of 66%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,071 ÷ 2,377,212 = 0.00255 (5-yr CDR)

356,488(2022 pop) X 0.00255 = 910 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,229 – 910 = 319 or 319 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,229 ÷ 910 = 1.3447 or an increase of 34%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,733,700 X 0.00207 = 5,664 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7300 – 5,664 = 1,636 or 1,636 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,300 ÷ 5,664 = 1.2826 or an increase of 28%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.