2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Georgia

1. 5,940 of 5,940 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,881 of 5,881 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 59 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 665 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,940 of 255,771 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

5,940 ÷ 255,771 = 0.02322 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 51,288 deaths from All Causes among 2,230,530 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

51,288 ÷ 2,230,530 = 0.02299 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

255,771 X 0.02299 = 5,881 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,940 – 5,881 = 59

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,940 ÷ 5,881 = 1.0096

This reveals 59 lives lost and is 100.96% of what we expected (an increase of 1%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

36,692 ÷ 1,627,238 = 0.02255 (5-yr CDR)

255,771(2022 pop) X 0.02255 = 5,767 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,940 – 5,767 = 173 or 173 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,940 ÷ 5,767 = 1.0295 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,883,009 X 0.02299 = 43,297 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

42632 – 43,297 = -665 or 665 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

42,632 ÷ 43,297 = 0.9842 or a decrease of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.