2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Hawaii, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Hawaii

1. 6,123 of 6,123 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,484 of 4,484 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,639 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 7,145 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 36% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,123 of 537,036 women of all ages living in Hawaii died from All Causes.

6,123 ÷ 537,036 = 0.01140 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 64,445 deaths from All Causes among 7,718,070 women of all ages living in Hawaii in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

64,445 ÷ 7,718,070 = 0.00835 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

537,036 X 0.00835 = 4,484 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,123 – 4,484 = 1,639

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,123 ÷ 4,484 = 1.3638

This reveals 1,639 lives lost and is 136.38% of what we expected (an increase of 36%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Hawaii in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

37,687 ÷ 3,854,061 = 0.00978 (5-yr CDR)

537,036(2022 pop) X 0.00978 = 5,251 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,123 – 5,251 = 872 or 872 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,123 ÷ 5,251 = 1.1648 or an increase of 16%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Hawaii in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,391,097 X 0.00835 = 36,665 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

43810 – 36,665 = 7,145 or 7,145 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

43,810 ÷ 36,665 = 1.1934 or an increase of 19%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Hawaii in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.