2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Illinois, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Illinois

1. 59,200 of 59,200 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 52,050 of 52,050 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 7,150 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 30,205 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 59,200 of 6,182,358 women of all ages living in Illinois died from All Causes.

59,200 ÷ 6,182,358 = 0.00958 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 797,352 deaths from All Causes among 94,706,559 women of all ages living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

797,352 ÷ 94,706,559 = 0.00842 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

6,182,358 X 0.00842 = 52,050 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

59,200 – 52,050 = 7,150

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

59,200 ÷ 52,050 = 1.1360

This reveals 7,150 lives lost and is 113.60% of what we expected (an increase of 14%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

394,261 ÷ 44,090,455 = 0.00894 (5-yr CDR)

6,182,358(2022 pop) X 0.00894 = 55,283 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

59,200 – 55,283 = 3,917 or 3,917 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

59,200 ÷ 55,283 = 1.0697 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

50,272,813 X 0.00842 = 423,256 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

453461 – 423,256 = 30,205 or 30,205 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

453,461 ÷ 423,256 = 1.0701 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.