2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Iowa

1. 291 of 291 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 67% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 173 of 173 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 118 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 530 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 67% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 291 of 198,591 people aged 30-34 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

291 ÷ 198,591 = 0.00147 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,418 deaths from All Causes among 2,781,928 people aged 30-34 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,418 ÷ 2,781,928 = 0.00087 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

198,591 X 0.00087 = 173 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

291 – 173 = 118

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

291 ÷ 173 = 1.6667

This reveals 118 lives lost and is 166.67% of what we expected (an increase of 67%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,602 ÷ 1,369,880 = 0.00117 (5-yr CDR)

198,591(2022 pop) X 0.00117 = 232 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

291 – 232 = 59 or 59 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

291 ÷ 232 = 1.2424 or an increase of 24%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,568,471 X 0.00087 = 1,363 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1893 – 1,363 = 530 or 530 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,893 ÷ 1,363 = 1.3728 or an increase of 37%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.