2022 Deaths – All Causes – Baby – Under 1 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for babies in their first year of life in Kansas

1. 207 of 207 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 243 of 243 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 36 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 275 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many babies in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 207 of 34,772 babies in their first year of life living in Kansas died from All Causes.

207 ÷ 34,772 = 0.00595 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,145 deaths from All Causes among 594,343 babies in their first year of life living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,145 ÷ 594,343 = 0.00697 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

34,772 X 0.00697 = 243 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

207 – 243 = -36

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

207 ÷ 243 = 0.8524

This reveals 36 lives saved and is 85.24% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,544 ÷ 255,720 = 0.00604 (5-yr CDR)

34,772(2022 pop) X 0.00604 = 210 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

207 – 210 = -3 or 3 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

207 ÷ 210 = 0.9843 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

290,492 X 0.00697 = 2,026 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1751 – 2,026 = -275 or 275 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,751 ÷ 2,026 = 0.8631 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.