2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 65-69 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 65-69 in Kansas

1. 1,297 of 1,297 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,126 of 1,126 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 171 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 159 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,297 of 84,663 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

1,297 ÷ 84,663 = 0.01532 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,697 deaths from All Causes among 804,581 elderly women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,697 ÷ 804,581 = 0.01330 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

84,663 X 0.01330 = 1,126 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,297 – 1,126 = 171

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,297 ÷ 1,126 = 1.1514

This reveals 171 lives lost and is 115.14% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,929 ÷ 545,991 = 0.01269 (5-yr CDR)

84,663(2022 pop) X 0.01269 = 1,074 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,297 – 1,074 = 223 or 223 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,297 ÷ 1,074 = 1.2062 or an increase of 21%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

630,654 X 0.01330 = 8,385 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8226 – 8,385 = -159 or 159 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

8,226 ÷ 8,385 = 0.9803 or a decrease of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.