2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 80-84 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 80-84 in Kansas

1. 2,017 of 2,017 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 8% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,866 of 1,866 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 151 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 20 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 8% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,017 of 32,767 elderly women aged 80-84 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

2,017 ÷ 32,767 = 0.06156 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 29,215 deaths from All Causes among 512,957 elderly women aged 80-84 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

29,215 ÷ 512,957 = 0.05695 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

32,767 X 0.05695 = 1,866 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,017 – 1,866 = 151

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,017 ÷ 1,866 = 1.0806

This reveals 151 lives lost and is 108.06% of what we expected (an increase of 8%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

12,600 ÷ 223,523 = 0.05637 (5-yr CDR)

32,767(2022 pop) X 0.05637 = 1,847 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,017 – 1,847 = 170 or 170 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,017 ÷ 1,847 = 1.0918 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

256,290 X 0.05695 = 14,597 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

14617 – 14,597 = 20 or 20 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

14,617 ÷ 14,597 = 1.0012 or an increase of 0%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.