2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 70-74 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in Kansas

1. 1,972 of 1,972 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,907 of 1,907 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 65 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 188 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,972 of 62,162 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

1,972 ÷ 62,162 = 0.03172 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,573 deaths from All Causes among 572,939 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,573 ÷ 572,939 = 0.03067 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

62,162 X 0.03067 = 1,907 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,972 – 1,907 = 65

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,972 ÷ 1,907 = 1.0340

This reveals 65 lives lost and is 103.40% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

11,187 ÷ 373,004 = 0.02999 (5-yr CDR)

62,162(2022 pop) X 0.02999 = 1,864 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,972 – 1,864 = 108 or 108 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,972 ÷ 1,864 = 1.0574 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

435,166 X 0.03067 = 13,347 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13159 – 13,347 = -188 or 188 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

13,159 ÷ 13,347 = 0.9856 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.