2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Kentucky

1. 3,889 of 3,889 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,962 of 3,962 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 73 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,345 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,889 of 66,506 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

3,889 ÷ 66,506 = 0.05848 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 39,897 deaths from All Causes among 669,713 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

39,897 ÷ 669,713 = 0.05957 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

66,506 X 0.05957 = 3,962 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,889 – 3,962 = -73

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,889 ÷ 3,962 = 0.9814

This reveals 73 lives saved and is 98.14% of what we expected (a decrease of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

22,506 ÷ 399,135 = 0.05639 (5-yr CDR)

66,506(2022 pop) X 0.05639 = 3,750 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,889 – 3,750 = 139 or 139 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,889 ÷ 3,750 = 1.0369 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

465,641 X 0.05957 = 27,740 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

26395 – 27,740 = -1,345 or 1,345 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

26,395 ÷ 27,740 = 0.9514 or a decrease of 5%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.