2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Washington

1. 20,494 of 69,191 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 29.62% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 17,879 of 57,122 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,615 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 12,069 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 11,216 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 40,675 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Washington’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 20,494 of 7,650,667 individuals of all ages living in Washington died from Unknown Causes.

20,494 ÷ 7,650,667 = 0.00268 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 222,995 deaths from Unknown Causes among 95,422,143 individuals of all ages living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

222,995 ÷ 95,422,143 = 0.00234 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,650,667 X 0.00234 = 17,879 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

20,494 – 17,879 = 2,615

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

20,494 ÷ 17,879 = 1.1414

This reveals 2,615 lives lost and is 114.14% of what we expected (an increase of 14%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

129,018 ÷ 51,528,003 = 0.00250 (5-yr CDR)

7,650,667(2022 pop) X 0.00250 = 19,156 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

20,494 – 19,156 = 1,338 or 1,338 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

20,494 ÷ 19,156 = 1.0656 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

59,178,670 X 0.00234 = 138,296 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

149512 – 138,296 = 11,216 or 11,216 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

149,512 ÷ 138,296 = 1.0765 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.