2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 25-29 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in Canada

1. 2,204 of 2,204 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 41% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,537 of 1,537 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 667 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,667 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 41% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,204 of 2,703,647 people aged 25-29 living in Canada died from All Causes.

2,204 ÷ 2,703,647 = 0.00082 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 19,064 deaths from All Causes among 33,528,606 people aged 25-29 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

19,064 ÷ 33,528,606 = 0.00057 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,703,647 X 0.00057 = 1,537 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,204 – 1,537 = 667

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,204 ÷ 1,537 = 1.4089

This reveals 667 lives lost and is 140.89% of what we expected (an increase of 41%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

13,172 ÷ 17,890,028 = 0.00074 (5-yr CDR)

2,703,647(2022 pop) X 0.00074 = 1,991 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,204 – 1,991 = 213 or 213 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,204 ÷ 1,991 = 1.0924 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

20,593,675 X 0.00057 = 11,709 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15376 – 11,709 = 3,667 or 3,667 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

15,376 ÷ 11,709 = 1.2904 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.