2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Manitoba, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Manitoba

1. 6,028 of 6,028 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,815 of 5,815 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 213 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 418 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,028 of 704,873 women of all ages living in Manitoba died from All Causes.

6,028 ÷ 704,873 = 0.00855 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 69,985 deaths from All Causes among 8,483,387 women of all ages living in Manitoba in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

69,985 ÷ 8,483,387 = 0.00825 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

704,873 X 0.00825 = 5,815 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,028 – 5,815 = 213

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,028 ÷ 5,815 = 1.0354

This reveals 213 lives lost and is 103.54% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

38,351 ÷ 4,725,320 = 0.00812 (5-yr CDR)

704,873(2022 pop) X 0.00812 = 5,721 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,028 – 5,721 = 307 or 307 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,028 ÷ 5,721 = 1.0524 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,430,193 X 0.00825 = 44,797 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

44379 – 44,797 = -418 or 418 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

44,379 ÷ 44,797 = 0.9895 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Manitoba in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.