2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Nova Scotia

1. 10,780 of 10,780 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 8,972 of 8,972 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,808 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 9,396 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 10,780 of 1,019,725 individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

10,780 ÷ 1,019,725 = 0.01057 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 115,598 deaths from All Causes among 13,139,077 individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

115,598 ÷ 13,139,077 = 0.00880 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,019,725 X 0.00880 = 8,972 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

10,780 – 8,972 = 1,808

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

10,780 ÷ 8,972 = 1.2002

This reveals 1,808 lives lost and is 120.02% of what we expected (an increase of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

66,806 ÷ 6,730,880 = 0.00993 (5-yr CDR)

1,019,725(2022 pop) X 0.00993 = 10,121 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10,780 – 10,121 = 659 or 659 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

10,780 ÷ 10,121 = 1.0640 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,750,605 X 0.00880 = 68,190 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

77586 – 68,190 = 9,396 or 9,396 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

77,586 ÷ 68,190 = 1.1365 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.