2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in California

1. 313,148 of 313,148 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 253,208 of 253,208 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 59,940 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 252,217 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 23% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 313,148 of 38,289,915 individuals of all ages living in California died from All Causes.

313,148 ÷ 38,289,915 = 0.00818 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,555,503 deaths from All Causes among 537,661,242 individuals of all ages living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,555,503 ÷ 537,661,242 = 0.00661 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

38,289,915 X 0.00661 = 253,208 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

313,148 – 253,208 = 59,940

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

313,148 ÷ 253,208 = 1.2349

This reveals 59,940 lives lost and is 123.49% of what we expected (an increase of 23%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,981,177 ÷ 270,516,573 = 0.00732 (5-yr CDR)

38,289,915(2022 pop) X 0.00732 = 280,423 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

313,148 – 280,423 = 32,725 or 32,725 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

313,148 ÷ 280,423 = 1.1152 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

308,806,488 X 0.00661 = 2,042,108 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2294325 – 2,042,108 = 252,217 or 252,217 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,294,325 ÷ 2,042,108 = 1.1218 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.