2022 Deaths – All Causes – Baby – Under 1 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for babies in their first year of life in Florida

1. 1,341 of 1,341 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,568 of 1,568 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 227 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,911 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many babies in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,341 of 220,782 babies in their first year of life living in Florida died from All Causes.

1,341 ÷ 220,782 = 0.00607 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 22,537 deaths from All Causes among 3,174,064 babies in their first year of life living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

22,537 ÷ 3,174,064 = 0.00710 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

220,782 X 0.00710 = 1,568 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,341 – 1,568 = -227

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,341 ÷ 1,568 = 0.8542

This reveals 227 lives saved and is 85.42% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,283 ÷ 1,544,583 = 0.00601 (5-yr CDR)

220,782(2022 pop) X 0.00601 = 1,327 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,341 – 1,327 = 14 or 14 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,341 ÷ 1,327 = 1.0089 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,765,365 X 0.00710 = 12,535 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10624 – 12,535 = -1,911 or 1,911 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,624 ÷ 12,535 = 0.8464 or a decrease of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.