2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Illinois, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Illinois

1. 122,953 of 122,953 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 102,094 of 102,094 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 20,859 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 98,022 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 122,953 of 12,324,939 individuals of all ages living in Illinois died from All Causes.

122,953 ÷ 12,324,939 = 0.00998 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,549,769 deaths from All Causes among 187,090,664 individuals of all ages living in Illinois in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,549,769 ÷ 187,090,664 = 0.00828 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

12,324,939 X 0.00828 = 102,094 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

122,953 – 102,094 = 20,859

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

122,953 ÷ 102,094 = 1.2029

This reveals 20,859 lives lost and is 120.29% of what we expected (an increase of 20%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

800,402 ÷ 87,310,640 = 0.00917 (5-yr CDR)

12,324,939(2022 pop) X 0.00917 = 112,986 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

122,953 – 112,986 = 9,967 or 9,967 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

122,953 ÷ 112,986 = 1.0870 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Illinois in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

99,635,579 X 0.00828 = 825,333 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

923355 – 825,333 = 98,022 or 98,022 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

923,355 ÷ 825,333 = 1.1174 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Illinois in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.