2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Utah, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Utah

1. 21,885 of 21,885 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 18,794 of 18,794 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 3,091 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 17,526 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 21,885 of 3,341,968 individuals of all ages living in Utah died from All Causes.

21,885 ÷ 3,341,968 = 0.00655 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 213,138 deaths from All Causes among 37,901,080 individuals of all ages living in Utah in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

213,138 ÷ 37,901,080 = 0.00562 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

3,341,968 X 0.00562 = 18,794 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

21,885 – 18,794 = 3,091

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

21,885 ÷ 18,794 = 1.1624

This reveals 3,091 lives lost and is 116.24% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Utah in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

134,398 ÷ 21,332,309 = 0.00630 (5-yr CDR)

3,341,968(2022 pop) X 0.00630 = 21,055 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

21,885 – 21,055 = 830 or 830 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

21,885 ÷ 21,055 = 1.0378 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Utah in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

24,674,277 X 0.00562 = 138,757 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

156283 – 138,757 = 17,526 or 17,526 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

156,283 ÷ 138,757 = 1.1243 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Utah in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.