2022 Deaths – All Causes – Pre-school Girl – 0-4 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for pre-school girls aged 0-4 in Canada

1. 892 of 892 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 981 of 981 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 89 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 969 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-school girls aged 0-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 892 of 916,403 pre-school girls aged 0-4 living in Canada died from All Causes.

892 ÷ 916,403 = 0.00097 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 14,105 deaths from All Causes among 13,181,415 pre-school girls aged 0-4 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

14,105 ÷ 13,181,415 = 0.00107 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

916,403 X 0.00107 = 981 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

892 – 981 = -89

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

892 ÷ 981 = 0.9012

This reveals 89 lives saved and is 90.12% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,161 ÷ 6,580,677 = 0.00094 (5-yr CDR)

916,403(2022 pop) X 0.00094 = 858 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

892 – 858 = 34 or 34 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

892 ÷ 858 = 1.0287 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,497,080 X 0.00107 = 8,022 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7053 – 8,022 = -969 or 969 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,053 ÷ 8,022 = 0.8710 or a decrease of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among pre-school girls aged 0-4 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.