2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 75-79 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in Canada

1. 17,938 of 17,938 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 20,382 of 20,382 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,444 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 18,774 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 17,938 of 734,394 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada died from All Causes.

17,938 ÷ 734,394 = 0.02443 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 205,427 deaths from All Causes among 7,401,945 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

205,427 ÷ 7,401,945 = 0.02775 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

734,394 X 0.02775 = 20,382 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

17,938 – 20,382 = -2,444

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

17,938 ÷ 20,382 = 0.8798

This reveals 2,444 lives saved and is 87.98% of what we expected (a decrease of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

99,969 ÷ 4,190,508 = 0.02386 (5-yr CDR)

734,394(2022 pop) X 0.02386 = 17,520 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17,938 – 17,520 = 418 or 418 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

17,938 ÷ 17,520 = 1.0234 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,924,902 X 0.02775 = 136,681 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

117907 – 136,681 = -18,774 or 18,774 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

117,907 ÷ 136,681 = 0.8623 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.