2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Ontario

1. 58,889 of 58,889 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 50,872 of 50,872 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 8,017 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 33,151 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 58,889 of 7,635,644 women of all ages living in Ontario died from All Causes.

58,889 ÷ 7,635,644 = 0.00771 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 645,665 deaths from All Causes among 96,911,581 women of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

645,665 ÷ 96,911,581 = 0.00666 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,635,644 X 0.00666 = 50,872 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

58,889 – 50,872 = 8,017

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

58,889 ÷ 50,872 = 1.1559

This reveals 8,017 lives lost and is 115.59% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

362,803 ÷ 50,682,761 = 0.00716 (5-yr CDR)

7,635,644(2022 pop) X 0.00716 = 54,658 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

58,889 – 54,658 = 4,231 or 4,231 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

58,889 ÷ 54,658 = 1.0759 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

58,318,405 X 0.00666 = 388,541 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

421692 – 388,541 = 33,151 or 33,151 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

421,692 ÷ 388,541 = 1.0837 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.