2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Ontario

1. 121,347 of 121,347 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 102,616 of 102,616 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 18,731 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 76,530 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 121,347 of 15,109,416 individuals of all ages living in Ontario died from All Causes.

121,347 ÷ 15,109,416 = 0.00803 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,297,620 deaths from All Causes among 191,064,858 individuals of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,297,620 ÷ 191,064,858 = 0.00679 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

15,109,416 X 0.00679 = 102,616 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

121,347 – 102,616 = 18,731

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

121,347 ÷ 102,616 = 1.1808

This reveals 18,731 lives lost and is 118.08% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

737,231 ÷ 100,041,330 = 0.00737 (5-yr CDR)

15,109,416(2022 pop) X 0.00737 = 111,345 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

121,347 – 111,345 = 10,002 or 10,002 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

121,347 ÷ 111,345 = 1.0883 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

115,150,746 X 0.00679 = 782,048 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

858578 – 782,048 = 76,530 or 76,530 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

858,578 ÷ 782,048 = 1.0962 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.