2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Manitoba, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Manitoba

1. 12,477 of 12,477 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 11,686 of 11,686 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 791 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 177 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 12,477 of 1,409,223 individuals of all ages living in Manitoba died from All Causes.

12,477 ÷ 1,409,223 = 0.00885 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 139,739 deaths from All Causes among 16,850,614 individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

139,739 ÷ 16,850,614 = 0.00829 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,409,223 X 0.00829 = 11,686 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

12,477 – 11,686 = 791

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

12,477 ÷ 11,686 = 1.0664

This reveals 791 lives lost and is 106.64% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

77,636 ÷ 9,435,802 = 0.00823 (5-yr CDR)

1,409,223(2022 pop) X 0.00823 = 11,595 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12,477 – 11,595 = 882 or 882 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

12,477 ÷ 11,595 = 1.0748 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,845,025 X 0.00829 = 89,936 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

90113 – 89,936 = 177 or 177 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

90,113 ÷ 89,936 = 1.0008 or an increase of 0%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Manitoba in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.