2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Newfoundland

1. 3,236 of 3,236 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 36% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,374 of 2,374 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 862 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,260 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 36% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,236 of 259,761 men of all ages living in Newfoundland died from All Causes.

3,236 ÷ 259,761 = 0.01246 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 35,139 deaths from All Causes among 3,844,616 men of all ages living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

35,139 ÷ 3,844,616 = 0.00914 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

259,761 X 0.00914 = 2,374 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,236 – 2,374 = 862

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,236 ÷ 2,374 = 1.3615

This reveals 862 lives lost and is 136.15% of what we expected (an increase of 36%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

19,029 ÷ 1,819,601 = 0.01046 (5-yr CDR)

259,761(2022 pop) X 0.01046 = 2,717 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,236 – 2,717 = 519 or 519 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,236 ÷ 2,717 = 1.1901 or an increase of 19%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,079,362 X 0.00914 = 19,005 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

22265 – 19,005 = 3,260 or 3,260 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

22,265 ÷ 19,005 = 1.1703 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.