2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 20-24 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 20-24 in United States

1. 22,487 of 22,487 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 20,807 of 20,807 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,680 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 11,620 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 22,487 of 22,705,779 people aged 20-24 living in United States died from All Causes.

22,487 ÷ 22,705,779 = 0.00099 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 291,468 deaths from All Causes among 318,071,769 people aged 20-24 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

291,468 ÷ 318,071,769 = 0.00092 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

22,705,779 X 0.00092 = 20,807 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

22,487 – 20,807 = 1,680

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

22,487 ÷ 20,807 = 1.0691

This reveals 1,680 lives lost and is 106.91% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

150,935 ÷ 153,864,247 = 0.00098 (5-yr CDR)

22,705,779(2022 pop) X 0.00098 = 22,274 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

22,487 – 22,274 = 213 or 213 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

22,487 ÷ 22,274 = 0.9994 or a decrease of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

176,570,026 X 0.00092 = 161,802 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

173422 – 161,802 = 11,620 or 11,620 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

173,422 ÷ 161,802 = 1.0602 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.