2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 50-54 in Alaska
255 of 255 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates.
199 of 199 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
56 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
316 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 28% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 50-54 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 50-54 | Alaska, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 255 of 42,285 people aged 50-54 living in Alaska died from All Causes.
255 ÷ 42,285 = 0.00603 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Alaska male aged 50-54 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
41,437
184
184
|2001
44,830
224
224
|2002
46,150
209
209
|2003
48,563
205
205
|2004
50,513
197
197
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
52,362
234
234
|2006
53,964
249
249
|2007
55,115
265
265
|2008
55,447
267
267
|2009
56,420
296
296
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
56,300
268
268
|2011
56,841
284
284
|2012
55,845
260
260
|2013
53,654
258
258
|2014
52,351
272
272
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
779,792
3,672
3,672
The table shows there were a total of 3,672 deaths from All Causes among 779,792 people aged 50-54 living in Alaska in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
3,672 ÷ 779,792 = 0.00471 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
42,285 X 0.00471 = 199 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
255 – 199 = 56
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
255 ÷ 199 = 1.2779
This reveals 56 lives lost and is 127.79% of what we expected (an increase of 28%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Alaska in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
46,788
231
231
|2018
44,559
251
251
|2019
42,827
204
204
|2020
42,291
229
229
|2021
42,538
327
327
Total:
318,012
1,758
1,758
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
1,758 ÷ 318,012 = 0.00553 (5-yr CDR)
42,285(2022 pop) X 0.00553 = 234 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
255 – 234 = 21 or 21 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
255 ÷ 234 = 1.0889 or an increase of 9%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Alaska in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
360,297 X 0.00471 = 1,697 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2013 – 1,697 = 316 or 316 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
2,013 ÷ 1,697 = 1.1840 or an increase of 18%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Alaska in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
50,118
264
264
|2016
48,891
252
252
|2017
46,788
231
231
|2018
44,559
251
251
|2019
42,827
204
204
|2020
42,291
229
229
|2021
42,538
327
327
|2022
42,285
255
255
Total:
360,297
2,013
2,013
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
5,677 of the 5,677 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Alaska in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 60% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 588,149 individuals would have predicted 3,537 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 2,140 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Alaska in 2022.
To date, 9,737 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Alaska.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 2,140 lives and the 8-year loss of 9,737 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 62 of the 5,677 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 99.98% of the 62 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 9,490 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 59 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 more deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 486 deaths from All Causes represent 27 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 3 more live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 486 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 62 / 5,677
The next 0 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 52 deaths from All Causes represent 4 lives lost among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 52 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 62 / 5,677
The next 0 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 24 deaths from All Causes represent 3 lives lost among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 24 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 62 / 5,677
The next 0 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 50 deaths from All Causes represent 2 lives lost among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 50 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 62 / 5,677
The next 50 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.98% of the 50 total deaths in this group.
This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 45,200 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 42 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 8 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 345 deaths from All Causes represent 44 lives lost among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 8 more and the 8 year total of 345 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 112 / 5,677
The next 79 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.99% of the 79 total deaths in this group.
This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 52,144 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 70 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 9 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 653 deaths from All Causes represent 71 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 9 more and the 8 year total of 653 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 191 / 5,677
The next 99 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.99% of the 99 total deaths in this group.
This is up 35% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 54,405 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 73 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 26 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 855 deaths from All Causes represent 211 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 26 more and the 8 year total of 855 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 290 / 5,677
The next 177 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.99% of the 177 total deaths in this group.
This is up 107% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 58,834 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 85 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 92 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 1,027 deaths from All Causes represent 363 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 92 more and the 8 year total of 1,027 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 467 / 5,677
The next 174 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.99% of the 174 total deaths in this group.
This is up 63% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 55,491 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 106 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 68 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 1,044 deaths from All Causes represent 249 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 68 more and the 8 year total of 1,044 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 641 / 5,677
The next 156 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 99.99% of the 156 total deaths in this group.
This is up 31% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 48,088 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 119 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 37 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 1,020 deaths from All Causes represent 144 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 37 more and the 8 year total of 1,020 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 797 / 5,677
The next 180 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 99.99% of the 180 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 40,688 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 141 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 39 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 1,335 deaths from All Causes represent 149 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 39 more and the 8 year total of 1,335 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 977 / 5,677
The next 255 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 255 total deaths in this group.
This is up 28% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 42,285 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 199 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 56 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 2,013 deaths from All Causes represent 316 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 56 more and the 8 year total of 2,013 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,232 / 5,677
The next 383 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 383 total deaths in this group.
This is up 35% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 42,865 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 284 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 99 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 2,973 deaths from All Causes represent 429 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 99 more and the 8 year total of 2,973 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,615 / 5,677
The next 541 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 541 total deaths in this group.
This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 44,376 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 432 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 109 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 3,739 deaths from All Causes represent 257 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 109 more and the 8 year total of 3,739 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,156 / 5,677
The next 651 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 651 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 38,605 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 598 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 53 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 4,247 deaths from All Causes represent 134 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 53 more and the 8 year total of 4,247 more individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,807 / 5,677
The next 668 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 668 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 28,671 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 734 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 66 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 4,312 deaths from All Causes represent 608 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 66 fewer and the 8 year total of 4,312 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,475 / 5,677
The next 668 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 668 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 17,700 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 733 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 65 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 4,148 deaths from All Causes represent 561 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 65 fewer and the 8 year total of 4,148 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,143 / 5,677
The next 562 of the 5,677 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 562 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 9,307 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 622 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 60 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 3,905 deaths from All Causes represent 307 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 60 fewer and the 8 year total of 3,905 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,705 / 5,677
The next 1,534 of the 5,677 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,534 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 9,307 would have predicted 1,554 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 20 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Alaska in 2022.
Overall, 10,815 deaths from All Causes represent 301 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Alaska's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 10,815 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,239 / 5,677*
* Alaska does not report the deaths of 562 babies in it's death totals