2022 Deaths – All Causes – Baby Boy – Under 1 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby boys in their first year of life in Colorado

1. 158 of 158 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 213 of 213 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 55 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 459 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby boys in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 158 of 32,198 baby boys in their first year of life living in Colorado died from All Causes.

158 ÷ 32,198 = 0.00491 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 3,370 deaths from All Causes among 510,424 baby boys in their first year of life living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,370 ÷ 510,424 = 0.00660 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

32,198 X 0.00660 = 213 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

158 – 213 = -55

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

158 ÷ 213 = 0.7421

This reveals 55 lives saved and is 74.21% of what we expected (a decrease of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,138 ÷ 233,573 = 0.00487 (5-yr CDR)

32,198(2022 pop) X 0.00487 = 157 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

158 – 157 = 1 or 1 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

158 ÷ 157 = 1.0051 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

265,771 X 0.00660 = 1,755 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1296 – 1,755 = -459 or 459 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,296 ÷ 1,755 = 0.7375 or a decrease of 26%

in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.