2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Colorado, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in Colorado

1. 663 of 663 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 65% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 399 of 399 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 264 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 911 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 65% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 663 of 233,310 men aged 35-39 living in Colorado died from All Causes.

663 ÷ 233,310 = 0.00284 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,624 deaths from All Causes among 2,702,911 men aged 35-39 living in Colorado in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,624 ÷ 2,702,911 = 0.00171 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

233,310 X 0.00171 = 399 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

663 – 399 = 264

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

663 ÷ 399 = 1.6514

This reveals 264 lives lost and is 165.14% of what we expected (an increase of 65%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,189 ÷ 1,485,645 = 0.00215 (5-yr CDR)

233,310(2022 pop) X 0.00215 = 501 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

663 – 501 = 162 or 162 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

663 ÷ 501 = 1.3177 or an increase of 32%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Colorado in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,718,955 X 0.00171 = 2,941 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3852 – 2,941 = 911 or 911 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,852 ÷ 2,941 = 1.3023 or an increase of 30%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Colorado in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.