2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Delaware, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Delaware

1. 5,362 of 5,362 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,838 of 4,838 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 524 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,575 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 5,362 of 453,735 women of all ages living in Delaware died from All Causes.

5,362 ÷ 453,735 = 0.01182 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 56,001 deaths from All Causes among 5,251,549 women of all ages living in Delaware in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

56,001 ÷ 5,251,549 = 0.01066 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

453,735 X 0.01066 = 4,838 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

5,362 – 4,838 = 524

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

5,362 ÷ 4,838 = 1.1072

This reveals 524 lives lost and is 110.72% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Delaware in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

32,282 ÷ 2,741,096 = 0.01178 (5-yr CDR)

453,735(2022 pop) X 0.01178 = 5,344 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5,362 – 5,344 = 18 or 18 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

5,362 ÷ 5,344 = 1.0026 or an increase of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Delaware in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,194,831 X 0.01066 = 34,069 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

37644 – 34,069 = 3,575 or 3,575 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

37,644 ÷ 34,069 = 1.1039 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Delaware in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.