2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 20-24 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 20-24 in Canada

1. 472 of 1,527 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 30.91% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 430% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 64 of 1,410 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 408 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 117 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,175 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 562 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 430% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 472 of 2,520,278 people aged 20-24 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

472 ÷ 2,520,278 = 0.00019 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 860 deaths from Unknown Causes among 33,910,535 people aged 20-24 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

860 ÷ 33,910,535 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,520,278 X 0.00003 = 64 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

472 – 64 = 408

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

472 ÷ 64 = 5.2963

This reveals 408 lives lost and is 529.63% of what we expected (an increase of 430%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,199 ÷ 17,027,327 = 0.00007 (5-yr CDR)

2,520,278(2022 pop) X 0.00007 = 177 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

472 – 177 = 295 or 295 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

472 ÷ 177 = 2.3289 or an increase of 133%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,547,605 X 0.00003 = 496 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1671 – 496 = 1,175 or 1,175 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,671 ÷ 496 = 2.4175 or an increase of 142%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.