2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 90+ | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 90+ in Canada

1. 3,583 of 72,255 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.96% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 58% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,267 of 69,862 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,316 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 2,393 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,309 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 13,595 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 58% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,583 of 348,195 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

3,583 ÷ 348,195 = 0.01029 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 18,169 deaths from Unknown Causes among 2,790,604 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

18,169 ÷ 2,790,604 = 0.00651 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

348,195 X 0.00651 = 2,267 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,583 – 2,267 = 1,316

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,583 ÷ 2,267 = 1.5781

This reveals 1,316 lives lost and is 157.81% of what we expected (an increase of 58%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

15,050 ÷ 2,158,998 = 0.00697 (5-yr CDR)

348,195(2022 pop) X 0.00697 = 2,427 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,583 – 2,427 = 1,156 or 1,156 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,583 ÷ 2,427 = 1.4741 or an increase of 47%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,507,193 X 0.00651 = 16,324 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

18633 – 16,324 = 2,309 or 2,309 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

18,633 ÷ 16,324 = 1.1397 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.