2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 55-59 | Louisiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 55-59 in Louisiana

1. 1,885 of 1,885 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,712 of 1,712 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 173 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,396 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,885 of 137,805 men aged 55-59 living in Louisiana died from All Causes.

1,885 ÷ 137,805 = 0.01368 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 24,350 deaths from All Causes among 1,959,480 men aged 55-59 living in Louisiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

24,350 ÷ 1,959,480 = 0.01243 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

137,805 X 0.01243 = 1,712 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,885 – 1,712 = 173

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,885 ÷ 1,712 = 1.0999

This reveals 173 lives lost and is 109.99% of what we expected (an increase of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,210 ÷ 1,045,011 = 0.01360 (5-yr CDR)

137,805(2022 pop) X 0.01360 = 1,874 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,885 – 1,874 = 11 or 11 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,885 ÷ 1,874 = 1.0052 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,182,816 X 0.01243 = 14,699 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16095 – 14,699 = 1,396 or 1,396 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

16,095 ÷ 14,699 = 1.0941 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Louisiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.