2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Montana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Montana

1. 11,655 of 11,655 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10,276 of 10,276 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,379 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 8,948 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 11,655 of 954,860 individuals of all ages living in Montana died from All Causes.

11,655 ÷ 954,860 = 0.01221 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 130,067 deaths from All Causes among 12,086,285 individuals of all ages living in Montana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

130,067 ÷ 12,086,285 = 0.01076 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

954,860 X 0.01076 = 10,276 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

11,655 – 10,276 = 1,379

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

11,655 ÷ 10,276 = 1.1332

This reveals 1,379 lives lost and is 113.32% of what we expected (an increase of 13%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Montana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

74,986 ÷ 6,264,673 = 0.01197 (5-yr CDR)

954,860(2022 pop) X 0.01197 = 11,429 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11,655 – 11,429 = 226 or 226 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

11,655 ÷ 11,429 = 1.0189 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Montana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,219,533 X 0.01076 = 77,693 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

86641 – 77,693 = 8,948 or 8,948 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

86,641 ÷ 77,693 = 1.1141 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Montana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.