2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | North Carolina, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in North Carolina

1. 112,921 of 112,921 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 25% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 90,333 of 90,333 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 22,588 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 100,680 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 25% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 112,921 of 10,511,943 individuals of all ages living in North Carolina died from All Causes.

112,921 ÷ 10,511,943 = 0.01074 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,149,704 deaths from All Causes among 133,789,729 individuals of all ages living in North Carolina in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,149,704 ÷ 133,789,729 = 0.00859 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,511,943 X 0.00859 = 90,333 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

112,921 – 90,333 = 22,588

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

112,921 ÷ 90,333 = 1.2486

This reveals 22,588 lives lost and is 124.86% of what we expected (an increase of 25%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Carolina in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

690,033 ÷ 71,210,876 = 0.00969 (5-yr CDR)

10,511,943(2022 pop) X 0.00969 = 101,861 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

112,921 – 101,861 = 11,060 or 11,060 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

112,921 ÷ 101,861 = 1.1074 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Carolina in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

81,722,819 X 0.00859 = 702,274 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

802954 – 702,274 = 100,680 or 100,680 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

802,954 ÷ 702,274 = 1.1420 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in North Carolina in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.