2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | New Brunswick, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in New Brunswick

1. 280 of 4,338 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.45% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 330% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 61 of 3,451 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 219 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 887 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 623 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 4,443 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New Brunswick’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 330% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 280 of 403,234 men of all ages living in New Brunswick died from Unknown Causes.

280 ÷ 403,234 = 0.00069 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 785 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,187,943 men of all ages living in New Brunswick in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

785 ÷ 5,187,943 = 0.00015 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

403,234 X 0.00015 = 61 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

280 – 61 = 219

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

280 ÷ 61 = 4.3046

This reveals 219 lives lost and is 430.46% of what we expected (an increase of 330%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

809 ÷ 2,677,092 = 0.00030 (5-yr CDR)

403,234(2022 pop) X 0.00030 = 122 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

280 – 122 = 158 or 158 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

280 ÷ 122 = 2.2242 or an increase of 122%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,080,326 X 0.00015 = 466 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1089 – 466 = 623 or 623 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,089 ÷ 466 = 2.1916 or an increase of 119%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New Brunswick in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.