2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in Vermont
3,088 of 3,088 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
3,135 of 3,135 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
47 fewer deaths from All Causes in 2022.
1,196 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ | Vermont, United-states
Populalation – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80+ – [2000-2022] | Vermont, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,088 of 15,124 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont died from All Causes.
3,088 ÷ 15,124 = 0.20418 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Vermont elderly men and women aged 80+ All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
10,901
2,361
2,361
|2001
11,294
2,475
2,475
|2002
11,574
2,367
2,367
|2003
11,737
2,446
2,446
|2004
12,106
2,430
2,430
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
12,369
2,513
2,513
|2006
12,573
2,400
2,400
|2007
12,814
2,520
2,520
|2008
12,831
2,555
2,555
|2009
12,698
2,490
2,490
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
12,783
2,708
2,708
|2011
12,815
2,664
2,664
|2012
12,860
2,756
2,756
|2013
12,713
2,801
2,801
|2014
12,727
2,816
2,816
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
184,795
38,302
38,302
The table shows there were a total of 38,302 deaths from All Causes among 184,795 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
38,302 ÷ 184,795 = 0.20727 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
15,124 X 0.20727 = 3,135 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
3,088 – 3,135 = -47
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
3,088 ÷ 3,135 = 0.9850
This reveals 47 lives saved and is 98.50% of what we expected (a decrease of 1%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
12,786
2,885
2,885
|2018
13,183
2,915
2,915
|2019
13,458
2,752
2,752
|2020
13,721
2,994
2,994
|2021
14,032
3,144
3,144
Total:
92,747
20,466
20,466
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
20,466 ÷ 92,747 = 0.22066 (5-yr CDR)
15,124(2022 pop) X 0.22066 = 3,337 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
3,088 – 3,337 = -249 or 249 lives saved
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
3,088 ÷ 3,337 = 0.9252 or a decrease of 7%
for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
107,871 X 0.20727 = 22,358 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
23554 – 22,358 = 1,196 or 1,196 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
23,554 ÷ 22,358 = 1.0534 or an increase of 5%
in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
12,773
2,917
2,917
|2016
12,794
2,859
2,859
|2017
12,786
2,885
2,885
|2018
13,183
2,915
2,915
|2019
13,458
2,752
2,752
|2020
13,721
2,994
2,994
|2021
14,032
3,144
3,144
|2022
15,124
3,088
3,088
Total:
107,871
23,554
23,554
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
6,949 of the 6,949 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Vermont in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 17% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 524,966 individuals would have predicted 5,939 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 1,010 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Vermont in 2022.
To date, 6,140 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Vermont.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 1,010 lives and the 8-year loss of 6,140 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 25 of the 6,949 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 99.96% of the 25 total deaths in this group.
This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 5,364 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 29 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 4 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 139 deaths from All Causes represent 16 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 4 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 139 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25 / 6,949
The next 0 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 0 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25 / 6,949
The next 0 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 0 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25 / 6,949
The next 0 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 0.00% of the 0 total deaths in this group.
This is down 100% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 0 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 0 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 0 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 0 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25 / 6,949
The next 12 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.92% of the 12 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 21,514 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 13 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 86 deaths from All Causes represent 6 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 86 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 37 / 6,949
The next 40 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.98% of the 40 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 45,899 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 43 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 245 deaths from All Causes represent 2 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 fewer and the 8 year total of 245 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 77 / 6,949
The next 42 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.98% of the 42 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 37,631 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 42 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 377 deaths from All Causes represent 62 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 377 fewer individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 119 / 6,949
The next 83 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.99% of the 83 total deaths in this group.
This is up 113% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 39,890 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 39 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 44 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 503 deaths from All Causes represent 233 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 44 more and the 8 year total of 503 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 202 / 6,949
The next 88 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.99% of the 88 total deaths in this group.
This is up 78% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 40,141 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 49 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 39 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 576 deaths from All Causes represent 214 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 39 more and the 8 year total of 576 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 290 / 6,949
The next 104 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 99.99% of the 104 total deaths in this group.
This is up 53% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 39,038 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 68 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 36 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 658 deaths from All Causes represent 166 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 36 more and the 8 year total of 658 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 394 / 6,949
The next 141 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 99.99% of the 141 total deaths in this group.
This is up 46% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 35,815 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 96 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 45 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 905 deaths from All Causes represent 86 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 45 more and the 8 year total of 905 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 535 / 6,949
The next 197 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 99.99% of the 197 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 40,943 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 154 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 43 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 1,541 deaths from All Causes represent 245 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 43 more and the 8 year total of 1,541 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 732 / 6,949
The next 344 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 344 total deaths in this group.
This is up 40% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 44,569 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 246 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 98 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 2,487 deaths from All Causes represent 370 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 98 more and the 8 year total of 2,487 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,076 / 6,949
The next 521 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 521 total deaths in this group.
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 49,148 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 435 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 86 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 3,517 deaths from All Causes represent 134 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 86 more and the 8 year total of 3,517 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,597 / 6,949
The next 598 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 598 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 45,609 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 655 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 57 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 4,327 deaths from All Causes represent 502 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 57 fewer and the 8 year total of 4,327 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,195 / 6,949
The next 771 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 771 total deaths in this group.
This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 37,873 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 910 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 139 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 5,200 deaths from All Causes represent 1,025 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 139 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,200 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,966 / 6,949
The next 895 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 895 total deaths in this group.
This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 26,408 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 1,042 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 147 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 5,762 deaths from All Causes represent 956 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 147 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,762 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,861 / 6,949
The next 892 of the 6,949 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 892 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 15,124 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 975 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 83 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 6,447 deaths from All Causes represent 506 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 83 fewer and the 8 year total of 6,447 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,753 / 6,949
The next 3,088 of the 6,949 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,088 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 15,124 would have predicted 3,135 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 47 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Vermont in 2022.
Overall, 23,554 deaths from All Causes represent 1,196 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Vermont's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 23,554 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,841 / 6,949*
* Vermont does not report the deaths of 892 babies in it's death totals